Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 1149.894886 1312.319003 1495.397730 1718.203732 1983.585382 2291.491053 2678.578113
2025-06-01 905.830488 1114.586896 1373.332812 1722.298476 2187.925445 2798.458667 3677.729061
2025-06-08 774.266529 997.115139 1289.943715 1711.509661 2317.586906 3181.452166 4552.167712
2025-06-15 696.900584 931.757562 1255.735388 1748.790757 2505.355424 3667.659837 5685.889987
2025-06-22 611.814787 841.347020 1169.861331 1691.734465 2534.711443 3910.604434 6485.988182
2025-06-29 546.401542 769.671404 1099.514325 1643.505587 2563.237522 4149.168914 7332.810204
2025-07-06 490.720885 705.502289 1031.526425 1586.968406 2564.536570 4335.264103 8125.835981
2025-07-13 468.643905 689.453053 1035.097877 1646.362864 2773.798204 4939.166279 9952.985173
2025-07-20 441.499961 662.312488 1017.150224 1665.236768 2910.763344 5431.633623 11705.455788
2025-07-27 420.832613 643.288745 1009.977367 1701.235857 3085.237491 6039.246711 13965.027166
2025-08-03 400.837773 623.312181 998.680855 1727.360610 3243.507378 6648.434550 16485.076902
2025-08-10 388.165422 614.345471 1005.287878 1787.853956 3483.980202 7508.455588 20131.284096
2025-08-17 369.729474 594.820333 992.738907 1812.666544 3660.550783 8286.607506 24045.291387
2025-08-24 348.992918 569.656586 967.647452 1809.357909 3775.063404 8947.078270 28011.474144
2025-08-31 329.615528 545.181591 941.180466 1799.073575 3870.382346 9584.354391 32335.894904
2025-09-07 317.830557 533.518851 938.004859 1838.546632 4097.621388 10684.389146 39469.490406
2025-09-14 296.206537 501.871796 892.628745 1777.887429 4054.077381 10935.906239 42956.313728
2025-09-21 277.521596 474.462326 853.406348 1726.607401 4026.927599 11237.593457 47000.887794
2025-09-28 259.563671 447.254829 812.418114 1666.527204 3965.469383 11409.257363 50555.694577
2025-10-05 254.774406 445.099839 822.689921 1729.645130 4267.055748 12984.125216 64168.318452
2025-10-12 246.331897 435.145706 815.685533 1749.709300 4447.441912 14187.772971 77143.276507
2025-10-19 239.974500 428.865620 815.923652 1787.987808 4693.209441 15768.219353 95572.117062
2025-10-26 233.133002 421.114295 812.252296 1815.774226 4913.176582 17352.753382 117254.324995